Michael Caine
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Michael Caine
Obama Vs Mc Cain Who Will Win?
What if Obama loses unfairly?
By John Nyaosi TEL. nairobi, +254 734 603 184
Barring a last minute jolt or an unforeseen sudden vicissitude , come November 4, Illinois senator Barrack Obama,47, is poised to amass enough votes to enable him step into the Oval office, after triumphing in a political duel fraught with all sorts of impediments and logistical nightmares.
In any contest whether small or big there must be a winner and a loser. As it often happens the winner may be boastful or magnanimous in victory even as the loser cries foul. Often you will hear claims and counter claims of an uneven playing field and advance rigging et cetera et cetera. Right now world attention is glued to the titanic tussle pitting John McCain,72, against Barrack Obama for the US presidential elections slated for November 4.2008. Much as he has been derided a “terrorist”, the US press, the Clintons and no lesser a person than former Secretary of State have endorsed his candidature. And now he can be said to be a heart beat away from presidency of a leading superpower.
The fact that his paternal roots are Kenyan and by dint of the blood flowing in his veins, Democractic candidate Barrack Obama is regarded a son of Kenya. The air in the country of his dad is right now pregnant with expectation on how this son whose father hailed from down at Kogelo Villabe in Siaya will fare on in the final polls on November 4. Will he triumph or will he flop? That is the question on many Kenyan fans’ lips about this denizen to of the world who after beating all odds is poised to embody in a special way not only the American dream but our own Kenyan dream too. He is as much a US citizen as a Kenyan one. Even the bird down at a thicket in Kogelo village can probably be heard chirping about this special son of Kenya who is suddenly poised for greater things. For us if there is anything in our potential to give for him to win the race we will spare no effort in doing so to ensure Obama finally triumphs. If it is money
, the contribution of a shilling from every Kenya would in no time net a whopping Shs 36 million from the 36 million Kenyans! But Obama is not desperate for campaign funds , having in the month of September alone amassed a cool $150 million dollars that has seen him enjoy a wide berth in expenditure.
What Obama needs is our moral support and goodwill and nothing more.
However, there is this thing called the Bradley’s Effect which threatens to deny our son the victory he has so relentlessly and courageously fought for and that which he so much deserves. For although in successive opinion polls by reputable and not so reputable pollsters Obama is widening the gap with a recent one putting him in the lead by 50 per cent to John McCain’s 44 per cent only a few days to D-Day in November, due to what in election parlance is known as Bradley’s Effect he could well lose. The Bradley Effect got its name from what befell one, Bradley ,who lost a poll despite pollsters having pointed to a sure win. All those polled who favour Obama could change on polling day, God forbid , by behaving in their true colours and of course goaded by racism reject him on basis of the colour his skin and not ability. If this happens , it means they may have been paying lip service about their support for Obama to please him
or so as not to be labelled racist while deep down in their heart of hearts they and never were for him as they are racist to the core. This is the main reason we can’t even start celebrating even as all opinon polls point clearly to an Obama victory.
Should Obama lose fairly we his fans are prepared to accept the results but should be lose through rigging of any sort, we will not resort to catching the next plane to Washington to uproot the railway. Having learnt the bitter way , and particularly with hind sight and both the Kriegler report and Waki’s recommendations on the perpetrators of post-election violence, we of course accept defeat with cool heads. Nobody is prepared to be hauled to the International Court of Justice at the Hague to answer charges of alleged crimes against humanity and genocide. So Michael Ranneburger the US ambassador to Kenya should rest assured that his citizens will be safe even when racists like writer Jerome Corse who sought to discredit Obama in the book titled: The Obama Nation: Leftist Politics and the Cult of Personality are hell bent to discredit our son.
For Obama fans his triumph is an embodiment of the American dream of , as it were, whereby an immigrant arriving at a city empty –handed and walks off after hard work as a success story. Obama’s success will have vindicated the believers of the American dream .Nontheless, his detractors claims are as confounding and as they are despicable.
In the event of an Obama defeat (which is highly unlikely), what should we do? We should lobby the American envoy in Nairobi to a repeat of the poll on a level playing field. Of course we are alive to the fact that the financial turmoil caused by credit crunch on Wall Street in spite of what Alan Greenspan describes as “ irrational exuberance”, the post 9/11 repercussions , the unfinished war on the so called Axis of Evil grouping Iran and North Korea as sponsors of terrorism and all the other problems that emerged as consequences of a unipolar world that led to the Iraq war , the Middle East ,that cauldron of endless conflict will have a bearing on the outcome of the polls. These are the challenges which any winner in the November poll will have to face a new.
But in the event that we end up getting a raw deal through a rigged poll we want to , of course with tongue firmly in cheek , to propose the following measures as a fitting remedy to the problem.
Through Michael Ranneburger we will propose that the setting up a coalition government modeled on the Kenyan one immediately to share power between the two principals John McCain and our brother Barrck Obama. All political appointment must be vetted with both prior to postings. A Committee of Eminent Persons of the World must also expeditiously broker an amicable deal to share power and the over 200-year old American Constitution must be overhauled with input from Wanjiku or preferably a representative in this case the interested parties like Kenyans with a view to coming up with a document that will always ensure fair play in future US polls On top of this denizens of this part of the world will demand reparations for Slave trade and the loss of Black kinsmen who perished in the cotton plantations as they build America.
About the Author
This Is How Michael Caine Speaks - The Trip - BBC Two